U.S. Dept Commerce/NOAA/NMFS/NWFSC/Publications


NOAA Tech Memo NMFS NWFSC-36: Fish Injury in the Hylebos Waterway (cont)

TABLE 2.4.
Biliary FACs as risk factors for liver lesions in English sole, combined studies. Logistic regression was used to calculate the odds ratios/estimated relative risks associated with biliary FACs levels and fish age. Significant or nearly significant relative risks and p values are shown in bold type. RRe = estimated relative risk. GM = grand mean; overall odds of lesion occurrence for entire dataset. n = 206 individuals.


LESIONRISK FACTORODDS RATIO/RReP VALUE

NeoplasmsAge 1.60 - 1.65a0.001
(GM=0.1933 to 0.2608E-3)FACsBaP1.001b0.009
FACsNPH1.000+b0.023
FACsPHN1.000+b0.011
Foci of cellular alterationAge1.47 - 1.480.001
(GM=0.3157 to 0.5710E-2)FACsBaP-------0.511
FACsNPH-------0.084
FACsPHN1.000+0.051
Specific degeneration/Age-------0.745
necrosisFACsBaP-------0.063
(GM=0.3518E-1)FACsNPH-------0.191
FACsPHN-------0.077
Proliferative lesionsAge-------0.419
(GM=0.9574E-1)FACsBaP-------0.617
FACsNPH-------0.119
FACsPHN-------0.054
Any toxicopathic lesionc
(GM=0.2522-0.4745E-1)Age1.25 - 1.290.001
FACsBaP-------0.057
FACsNPH1.000+0.001
FACsPHN1.000+0.001

a Odds ratios for age represent the effect of each additional year of age on the odds of disease occurrence. In other words, regardless of site of capture, an English sole in this study is 1.60 to 1.65 times as likely to have a neoplasm with each additional year of age.

b Odds ratios for FACs represent the effect of each additional unit of value (ng (BaP, NPH, PHN)eq/mg bile protein) on odds of disease occurrence. In other words, each additional ng BaP equivalent/mg bile protein detected in bile increases the probability of being affected with a neoplasm by 1.001 times. The RRe for FACsNPH and FACsPHN are very small (< 1.0005), but the cumulative effect of increasing levels on the odds of lesion occurrence is still significant (p < 0.05) by logistic regression analysis. FACsBaP = biliary FACs measured at benzo[a]pyrene wavelengths; FACsNPH = biliary FACs measured at naphthalene wavelengths; FACsPHN = biliary FACs measured at phenanthrene wavelengths.

c The "any toxicopathic lesion" category includes fish affected with neoplasms, foci of cellular alteration, specific degeneration/necrosis, or proliferative lesions.


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