Northwest Fisheries Science Center

Agenda and Background Materials

DateTimeSessionAgenda Item/Talk TitlePresenter/LeadPrimary DocumentsSupporting Documents
July 12, 2016
A. Introductions -- Facilitated by John Stein
8:00-8:25 AM Check-in/Coffee    
8:25-8:30 AM IntroductionsJohn Stein   
8:30-8:45 AMA1NMFS Ecosystem Science Program ReviewsRichard Merrick 
8:45-9:00 AMA2NWFSC Overview and Charge to the Review PanelJohn Stein Selected NWFSC Marine Ecosystem Science Publications

NOAA Fisheries Priorities and Annual Guidance for 2016

NWFSC Strategic Science Plan

Northwest Fisheries Science Center (NWFSC) Annual Guidance Memorandum for Fiscal Year (FY) 16
9:00-9:15 AMA3Framing the ReviewPhil Levin Guidance for implementation of integrated ecosystem assessments: a US perspective

Scope of the Northwest Fisheries Science Center Ecosystem Science Review
9:15-9:45 AMA4A National Perspective on NOAA Fisheries Ecosystem ScienceJason Link    
9:45-10:00 AMA5NWFSC and Ecosystem Science ResponsibilitiesJohn Stein NOAA Fisheries Climate Science Strategy, Western Regional Action Plan  
10:00-10:15 AMA6NOAA Fisheries West Coast Regional Office Ecosystem responsibilities and science needsBarry Thom    
10:15-10:30 AMBreak All
10:30-10:55 AMA7Introduction to California Current Large Marine Ecosystem - Climate, Oceanography, Species & Food webs Bill Peterson Zooplankton specieis composition is linked to ocean transport in the Northern California Current

A new climate regime in the northeast Pacific ecosystems
11:00-11:25 AMA8Introduction to California Current Large Marine Ecosystem - Human Activities Kelly Andrews The legacy of a crowded ocean: indicators, status, and trends of anthropogenic pressures in the California Current ecosystem Novel Indicators of Anthropogenic Influence on Marine Coastal Ecosystems
11:25-11:50 AMA9Introduction to California Current Large Marine Ecosystem - Coastal Communities Karma Norman   Development of Social Indicators of Fishing Community Vulnerability and Resilience in the U.S. Southeast and Northeast Regions
11:50-12:00 AMQuestions and Discussion All
12:00-1:00 PM Lunch
B. Theme 1: Monitoring to support Ecosystem Science Facilitated by Ric Brodeur
1:00-1:25 PMB1Focus on Phytoplankton and HABs Vera Trainer Harmful algal blooms and climate change: Learning from the past and present to forecast the future 
1:25-1:50 PMB2Lower Trophic Levels: zooplankton and ichthyoplankton Bill Peterson/Jennifer Fisher The impact of El Niño events on the pelagic food chain in the northern California CurrentZooplankton Data from High-Frequency Coastal Transects: Enriching the Contributions of Ocean Observing Systems to Ecosystem-Based Management in the Northern California Current
1:50-2:15 PMB3Pelagic juvenile and adult fish Ric Brodeur  Salmon and Marine Ecosystem Publications List
2:15-2:40 PMB4Midwater and Demersal sampling Aimee Keller/Larry Hufnagle  Groundfish Trawl Survey Bibliography
2:40-3:05 PMB5Focus on habitat Waldo Wakefield   
3:05-3::30PMBreak All
3:30-3:55 PMB6Focus on Puget Sound sampling Correigh Greene Forty years of change in the forage fish and jellyfish abundance across greater Puget Sound, Washington (USA): anthropogenic and climate associationsMonitoring habitat status and trends in Puget Sound: development of sample design, monitoring metrics, and sampling protocols for nearshore, delta, large river, and floodplain environments

Selecting Indicator Portfolios for Marine Species and Food Webs: A Puget Sound Case Study

A descriptive analysis of temporal and spatial patterns of variability in Puget Sound oceanographic properties

Marine and Coastal Fisheries: Dynamics, Management, and Ecosystem Science
3:55-4:20 PMB7Emerging approaches for ecosystem sampling Linda Rhodes A framework for inferring biological communities from environmental DNANew Tools to Meet New Challenges: Emerging Technologies for Managing Marine Ecosystems for Resilience

Stable Isotopes in Ecology and Environmental Science

Next-Generation Sequencing 1
Next-Generation Sequencing 2
Stable isotopes 1
Stable isotopes 2
Environmental Sample Processor 1
Environmental Sample Processor 2
4:20-4:30 PMPublic Comment
4:30-4:45 PM Q & A or Closed Panel Discussion
4:45 PMAdjourn
July 13, 2016
TimeSessionAgenda Item/Talk TitlePresenter/LeadPrimary DocumentsSupporting Documents
C. Theme 2: Ecological Interactions in the Northern California Current Facilitated by Chris Harvey
Process studies of Ecological Interactions in nearshore habitats
8:00-8:10 AMIntroduction to the day Mark Strom
8:10-8:35 AMC1Predator-prey interactions in nearshore habitats Eric Ward or Barry B Conservation challenges of Predator Recovery
8:35-9:00 AMC2Urbanization & the ecosystem Jameal Samhouri How much city is too much city? Biodiversity and ecosystem functioning along an urban gradient
9:00-9:25 AMC3Food web impacts of BioToxins Kathi Lefebvre Prevalence of algal toxins in Alaskan marine mammals foraging in a changing arctic and subarctic environment WARRN-West
9:25-9:50 AMC4Predator-prey interactions in offshore habitats Ric Brodeur
Modeling Ecological Interactions
9:50-10:05 AMBreak All
10:05-10:10 AMC5Overview of Modeling and Forecasting at the NWFSC TBD
10:10-10:35 AMC6The use of ecosystem science in population modeling Melissa Haltuch Groundfish Population Modeling Publications List
10:35-11:00 AMC7Modeling populations and ecological interactions in space Ole Shelton (w/input from Thorson and Feist, etc.)
11:00-11:25 AMC8MARSS and other time series approaches Mark Scheuerell Analysis of multivariate time-series using the MARSS package

The next link/button will exit from NWFSC web site Time-varying vector autoregressive state space (TVVARSS) modeling of multi-site community dynamics

Times series, Supplementary Information
11:25-11:50 AMC9MICE Models Tessa Francis Exploring the implications of the harvest control rule for Pacific sardine, accounting for predator dynamics: A MICE model
11:50-12:50 PM Lunch All
12:50-1:15 PMC10 Food web Models Chris Harvey
1:15-1:40 PMC11End-to-End Models Isaac Kaplan Potential effects of ocean acidification on the California Current food web and fisheries: ecosystem model projectsionsHavest Specifications and Management Measures for 2015-2016 and Biennial Periods Thereafter

A guinea pig's tale: learning to review end-to-end marine ecosystem models for management applications

Ecological Forecasting
1:40-2:05 PMC12HABs Forecasting Steph Moore
2:05-2:30 PMC13The J-Scope forecast system Isaac Kaplan Cloudy with a chance of sardines: forecasting sardine distributions using regional climate modelsExperiments with Seasonal Forecasts of ocean conditions for the Northern region of the California Current upwelling system
2:30-2:55 PMC14Ecological forecasting of salmon returns Brian Burke Multivariate Models of Adult Pacific Salmon ReturnsEcosystem Indicators of Ocean Conditions Inform Fisheries Management in the California Current

Ocean Conditions website
2:55-3:15 AMGeneral Discussion All
3:15-3:30 AMBreak All
D. Theme 3: Interdiscplinary Science Facilitated by Linda Rhodes
3:30-3:55 PMD1Ocean Acidification - from plankton to people Paul McElhany & Melissa Poe Cultural Dimensions of Socioecological Systems: Key Connections and Guiding Principles for Conservation in Coastal EnvironmentsPotential impacts of ocean acidification of the Puget Sound food web

Vulnerability and adaptation of US shellfisheries to ocean acidification
3:55-4:20 PMD2From krill to convenience stores: forecasting the economic and ecological effects of fisheries management Isaac Kaplan & Jerry Leonard From krill to convenience stores: Forecasting the economic and ecological effects of fisheries management on the US West CoastScreening California Current fishery management scenarios using the Atlantis end-to-end ecosystem model
4:20-4:40 PMD3Public Comment
4:40-5:00 PMClosed Panel Discussion
5:00 PMCenter-wide Poster Session and Reception
July 14, 2016
TimeSessionAgenda Item/Talk TitlePresenter/LeadPrimary DocumentsSupporting Documents
8:00-8:45 AMPanel Breakfast Meeting, 370W Phil Levin
E. Theme 4: Linking knowledge to Action Facilitated by Jameal Samhouri
8:45-9:10 AME1Ocean Tipping Points Mary Hunsicker with input from OTP Team Principles for managing marine ecosystems prone to tipping points
9:10-9:35 AME2The California Current Integrated Ecosystem Assessment: from Idea to Implementation Chris Harvey Integrated Ecosystem Assessments: Developing the Scientific Basis for Ecosystem-Based Management of the Ocean NOAA's Integrated Ecosystem Assessment program: California Current Region 3-Year Work Plan (FY2016-FY2018)
9:35-10:00 AMBreak  
10:00-10:25 AME3The Pacific Council Fishery Ecosystem Plan Yvonne deReynier West Coast Region, Ecosystem-Based ManagementTask Force Convened on Fisheries and Ecosystems
10:25-10:55 AME4What Ecosystem Science do we need? Panel of Regional Fisheries Managers, Policy makers and stakeholders
10:55-11:10 AME5Reflections on the Strengths, Weaknesses & Opportunities for NWFSC Ecosystem Science Phil Levin
11:10-11:20 AME6The Future of NWFSC Ecosystem Science John Stein Engage key social concepts for sustainability
11:20-11:45 AMDiscussion All
11:45-12:00 PMPublic Comment
12:00-1:00 PMLunch - Seattle Yacht Club by invitation
1:00-4:00 PMPanel Discussion and writing
4:00-5:00 PMPanel debrief with NWFSC and NMFS leadership
5:00 PM Adjourn    

If you have further questions about this event or are experiencing accessibility issues, please contact Laurie Mukai,, 206-860-3438.